Hourly cost alone does not tell the story. Adjust the variables below. All numbers update in real time. Every assumption is sourced and transparent.
| Assumption | Value | Basis | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| MQ-9 all-in cost / hr | $12,000 | DHS Inspector General; CBO. Includes pilots, crew, maintenance, overhead. | High. Multiple federal audits. |
| MQ-9 coverage per 24-hr sortie | ~200 sq mi | CBP operational reporting; DHS OIG 2015 audit. | High. OIG confirmed. |
| Ravionics cruise speed range | 40–120 mph | Design specification for a hybrid diesel-electric tilt-wing VTOL platform of this class. Conservative range used here. | Moderate. Design spec, not demonstrated at full scale. |
| Sensor swath width range | 0.5–5 mi | Comparable ISR UAS platforms (ScanEagle, Shadow). Actual swath depends on payload, altitude, and optics. | Moderate. Payload-dependent. |
| Crew per aircraft. Manual ops | 6 people (2 shifts) | 1 pilot + 1 payload operator per shift. 1 crew chief. Based on ScanEagle and Shadow RQ-7 operational models. | Moderate. Subject to FAA/DoD requirements. |
| Crew per aircraft. Semi-autonomous | 4 people (2 shifts) | formally verified geo-containment system handles geo-containment. 1 operator monitors 2 aircraft. Crew chief shared. Requires BVLOS waiver. | Low-Moderate. Regulatory approval required. |
| Crew per aircraft. Full autonomous | 3 people (2 shifts) | formally verified geo-containment system + real-time compliance auditing system. 1 operator manages up to 4 aircraft. Program maturity milestone. Not current state. | Low. Future milestone. Requires FAA approval and proven AI stack. |
| Fully-loaded labor cost / person | $60K–$180K / yr | GS-12 to GS-14 equivalent for cleared UAS operators. Private sector range for experienced ISR crew. | Moderate. Market-rate range. |
| Ravionics cost per flight hour | User-adjustable | No validated figure. Full-scale platform not yet built. Planning assumption only. | None. Prototype validation required. |